IT-RISK-FUNDAMENTALS practice question 4 of 15

Which of the following risk analysis methods gathers different types of potential risk ideas to be validated and ranked by an individual or small groups during interviews?

Full set: 75 questions
Answer options
A: Brainstorming model
B: Delphi technique Correct answer
C: Monte Cado analysis
Correct Answer:
B. Delphi technique
Explanation

The Delphi technique is a structured forecasting and communication method that relies on a panel of experts. It involves multiple rounds of anonymous questionnaires to gather information and build a reliable consensus. In each round, a facilitator provides a summary of the previous round's results, allowing experts to review and revise their judgments based on the group's collective input. This iterative process of gathering, validating, and ranking ideas from individuals to form a group position aligns perfectly with the scenario described.

Why Incorrect

A. A brainstorming model is a less structured group creativity technique focused on generating a large volume of ideas, not on the systematic validation and ranking described.
C. Monte Carlo analysis is a quantitative simulation technique used to model the probability of different outcomes; it does not involve gathering ideas from people.

References

1. Rowe, G., & Wright, G. (1999). The Delphi technique as a forecasting tool: issues and analysis. International Journal of Forecasting, 15(4), 353-375. https://doi.org/10.1016/S0169-2070(99)00018-7. This paper describes the Delphi technique's structured, iterative process involving expert feedback.

2. ISACA. (2020). IT Risk Fundamentals Study Guide. Section 2.2, Risk Identification Methods. The guide discusses various methods, including the Delphi technique, for soliciting expert opinion in a structured manner to identify and assess risk.

3. Purdue University. (n.d.). The Delphi Method. Office of the Provost, Institutional Data Analytics + Assessment (IDA+A). Describes the technique as a multi-round survey of experts to achieve consensus.

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