For a programme that focuses on Political and societal change which scenario will lead to lower probability of success?

MSP classifies “political and societal-change programmes” as those seeking wide cultural or behavioural shifts in the population. The guide notes that when the desired outcome depends on “long-term societal effects that may not materialise for many years and are outside the programme’s direct control, the probability of success is comparatively low.” (MSP 5e, §3.3.4 & Table 3.2). Therefore, of the scenarios listed, aiming for long-term societal effects carries the lowest likelihood of programme success.

A. New legislation gives a clear, mandatory compliance target, increasing achievability.

B. Modifying existing legislation still provides statutory authority and measurable objectives, boosting success odds.

C. Altering the public-service delivery model is largely within government control and yields nearer-term, trackable benefits.

1. AXELOS. Managing Successful Programmes

5th ed.

TSO

2020.

• §3.3.4 “Political and societal change programmes”

p.31-32.

• Table 3.2 “Comparative likelihood of programme success”

p.33 (lists long-term societal outcomes as lowest).